Thinking about the future in criminal justice administration: Trends and implications

Research paper by Ralph G. Lewis

Indexed on: 01 Sep '79Published on: 01 Sep '79Published in: American journal of criminal justice : AJCJ


This paper utilizes the technology of Futures Research to discuss issues that may confront the criminal justice system in the year 2000. Conceptually, the criminal justice agencies are viewed as a social system which is open to external influence both in terms of organizational design and operation. The specific model of criminal justice agencies is based on the work of Lyman Porter and recognizes three primary factors: 1) contextual factors; 2) structural factors; and 3) behavioral consequences. The specific administrative issues discussed are derived from a series of long term social trends identified by futurist Herman Kahn of the Hudson Institute.